During the 16th century, Spain transformed from a modest European kingdom to a global hegemony. Spain’s success was driven by monetizing innovations in trans-ocean navigation and firearms to appropriate vast quantities of minerals (silver, copper, gold) from American conquest. However, like any mismanaged enterprise, Spain’s disastrous deployment of its new found capital led to its inevitable decline. In short, Imperial Spain made three strategic enterprise building lessons:
1) First strategic blunder: over-investing on a single high-risk growth platform …
… namely war. Spain continued doubling down good money after bad, despite having only a 30% success rate between 1520-1550. They waged multiple campaigns with the French, the Ottomans and the Protestant German principalities. Spain’s war efforts led to a net negative cash-flow of ~$1MM ducat/year. For example, a single campaign against France in 1544 cost $2.8MM ducat, more than the entire estimated net profit stream from Peruvian silver appropriation. By the time Spain lost its Armada to England in 1588, it faced an untenable 0.7-0.85 debt-to-income ratio. Focusing on a single, risky growth platform prevented Spain from diversifying its colonial profit stream into other sustainable growth industries.
2) Second, Spain failed to adequately invest in its asset and capabilities
To provide one illustration, in the first decade after its colonization windfall, Spain made almost no investments in its domestic logistics infrastructure. By the late 1550’s, inland transport still relied on ox-carts and mule trains. Its lagging supply chain capabilities severely impeded Agriculture and Textile sector growth. In general, sub-optimal investment in infrastructure prevented Spain from developing foundational innovations to increase productivity and ramp-up the manufacturing value chain (a lesson that the British learned well as they embraced Mercantilism in the 1600-1700’s).
3) Lastly, Spain failed to reform its antiquated (Medieval) management operating model
This led to ineffective policy decision making.The innovative Italian states and the emerging Dutch employed professional bankers and merchants to devise investment strategies and economic policies. The Spanish Crown however were hesitant to relinquish operational control and kept key management decisions “in-house”. Despite their “divine” status, the King and his high ranking nobles were likely lagging in financial and business acumen compared to the specialists such as the Fuggers, Welsers or Medicis.